Overconfidence

The feeling after a winning streak that you can't miss. The prelude to account-altering losses.

Winning streaks feel like skill. Usually they're a combination of skill + variance + regime alignment. The size-up that follows a streak is where gains get given back with interest. The cure: fixed-% risk, ignore the last 10 trades.

Learn to actually use Overconfidence.

Definitions are the easy part. The free first five modules put this on a real chart and make you do the work. No card required.